Future of Cinema Theaters

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Toys R Us lost their battle against online. That brought a different question in my mind. The way media streaming business is booming, do you think cinema theaters will survive in future? I mean what happens if production houses distribute their movies to streaming providers (Amazon, Netflix, Youtube) for a direct cost. I know right now they release short films to the streamers, but what if they do it for the movies. Do you think this is a possibility or if yes, a risk for theaters?

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Hitesh Mathpal
74 months ago

9 answers

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Theater owners have far more to be concerned with than streaming to home small format or VR technology. From digital wide-screen, IMAX, and Cinema 3D to Dolby Vision HDR and Dolby Atmos and cafe and reclining seating, to even minor improvements in food quality, theater owners are constantly improving the viewer experience that only large screens can deliver. The threat that theater owners face is quality and immersive content that does not just make a theater goer feel she or he have received a valuable experience for the money, but even more important, provide a content experience that will bring back consumers over and over again for a large viewing experience they know and believe that even the best 80" home theater, or VR headset could provide. The lack of quality in theater release product, as perceived by both professional critics and movie goers, is what hurts theater owners most. Simply put, what the movie industry (which now includes producers and developers from a much larger field "dabbling" in the creative process, is not delivering the product that consumers want or value - across many demographics. Viewing at home and sales to consumers of TVs and home theater systems is facing similar problems - as less and less content over fragmented channel platforms interests viewers, there is less incentive to purchase new and better home equipment. We've educated movie and television consumers to expect amazing viewing experiences, the creative industry has to become better at delivering far better viewing experiences.

Harry Falber
74 months ago
These are all very good points you have brought up Harry. I here many of these complaints from people all over the USA and at times from other countries. Why doesn't Hollywood make better movie's with better storylines instead of always doing remakes, reboots, & sequels of not so good movies. It usually relates to how much money these brought in the past & their profitability in the near future. - David 74 months ago
1

Here it is with an interesting article about how Netflix and Amazon are doing with this, https://mic.com/articles/134272/how-does-netflix-pay-studios-what-the-streaming-giant-does-to-obtain-content#.Bb10XpZ0o.

Paolo Beffagnotti
74 months ago
Nice read. Thanks Paolo. - Hitesh 74 months ago
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The global box office receipts of these films and the hundreds more released in 2016 reached $38.6 billion, an increase of one percent from the previous year. In the United States and Canada, the box office rose two percent to hit $11.4 billion. Even with an incredible variety of viewing choices available to audiences, cinema remains the premier way to experience the magic of our movies. The good news is, there are positive signs for greater growth in the future. In 2016, more young people and diverse populations went to the movies. Audiences between the ages of 18 and 24 attended an average of 6.5 movies over the course of the year – more than any other age group. Per capita attendance also increased among African American and Asian/Other audiences. Today, there are more stories and more storytelling mediums than ever before. Producers and filmmakers are continually finding new talent and technologies to weave these tales. At the same time, theater owners are investing in the best ways to bring movies to life with better sound, screens, and special effects. This collaboration and relentless innovation among production, distribution, and exhibition is an important reason the global film industry remains strong. 

David Barckhoff-Sag-Aftra/Producer, Director
74 months ago
You made some really good points David. I like the fact "collaboration and relentless innovation among production, distribution, and exhibition is an important reason ". Thanks. - Hitesh 74 months ago
SInce I'm part of the movie/tv industry for many years, I've seen many changes over the years. These changes in technology have made movie production easier and the on screen effects more elaborate. George Lucas's ILM literally invented movie CGI special effects. His THX surround sound placed the viewing audience into the movie scenes w/ immersion technology. It was a big hit w/ audiences. - David 74 months ago
As a producer, I'm always looking for more ways to get a completed film distributed to the widest audience possible using a variety of distribution methods from theaters to digital online downloads, while trying to keep expenses low while maximizing marketing and increasing profits so more entertaining movies & tv shows can be made and distributed worldwide. - David 74 months ago
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One important factor to remember is that streaming distribution platforms like Amazon and Netflix are already production houses. Some major films that were released in theaters were from Amazon Films (Chi-Raq, Cafe Society, The Dressmaker, Manchester by the Sea, The Big Sick, Crown Heights, Long Strange Trip) and Netflix (Beasts of No Nation, Bright) and apparently plan to release many more to theaters.

I'm not sure of the significance of this, but it creates a really tricky problem for film producers when one of the main channels for your products (Amazon and Netflix) become your competitors.

Dan Kelman
74 months ago
Amazon won a Golden Globe Award for best TV series with Transparent, Netflix is going to resume ""House of Card" production. These look good starting points. - Paolo 74 months ago
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Movie theater attendance in the US and Canada in 2017 fell to its lowest point since at least 1992, Bloomberg reportsBox Office Mojo estimates around 1.24 billion tickets were sold, a drop off of 5.8 percent from the previous year. Even with higher ticket prices, domestic revenue also dropped 2.7 percent from last year, from $11.4 billion to $11.1 billion.
The slump is part of an ongoing downward trend when it comes to domestic ticket sales. The Hollywood Reporter estimates that attendance in North America could be at a 27-year low. But when you factor in international theater attendance, things look slightly less dire. As The Hollywood Reporter points out, global box office revenue hit a record $40 billion this year (an increase of 3 percent worldwide).
Last year’s slump in domestic ticket sales can partly be attributed to a very poor turnout during the summer blockbuster season. Theater attendance in the US and Canada during the summer months, which saw releases like BaywatchThe Mummy, and the fifth installment of the Pirates of the Caribbean franchise, hit a 25-year low, according to the LA Times. The number of tickets sold from May through Labor Day was reportedly down 16 percent from 2016.
As Bloomberg points out, there are other factors in play, too. As streaming services like Netflix, Amazon, and HBO Go offer more entertainment options, theatergoers may be less likely to leave their homes to watch a movie. Ticket prices also continue to rise, even as startups like the subscription service MoviePass threaten to devalue the movie-going experience.
The highest-grossing movie of 2017 was Star Wars: The Last Jedi, which has so far earned more than $1 billion worldwide.

David Barckhoff-Sag-Aftra/Producer, Director
74 months ago
1

Another perspective on a slight downturn in cinema patrons suggests that the abundance of sequels is forcing theater goers to choose between films, thereby cannibalizing ticket sales. This also speaks to the broader trend of greater availability of content across platforms. Consumers are spoiled for choice. Thanks to the internet, films can be found on any number of platforms easily. And the relatively cheaper price of content on the internet — which is either free and ad-supported, or available through a monthly subscription — further incentivizes consumers to watch video online. A month's worth of access to Netflix, for instance, is typically equal to (or even less than) the price of a single admission to the cinema.

David Barckhoff-Sag-Aftra/Producer, Director
74 months ago
0

I do not see any risk to movie theaters in future. People prefer going to theaters with family or friends to spend time and enjoy. This increases over the weekend and this is how the production houses and all other associated with it makes money. In fact its popularity has increased in recent years.

Abhishek Raj
74 months ago
Thanks Abhishek. - Hitesh 74 months ago
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Ireland has the highest attendance rates in Europe (at least) yet I have been told by theatre goers (more regular than I) that other than for 'blockbuster movies' the figures are falling. Unfortunately.

Peter John O'Connor
74 months ago
Interesting. Thanks Perter. - Hitesh 74 months ago
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I would say there will be theaters for many years in the future. This is where movies make a lot of their money (domestically and internationally) for the studio's, distributor's, producers and production companies. 

The Billion-Dollar Film Club: There are 33 Hollywood Movies that Reached $1 Billion Worldwide from theater/cinema distribution release as of March 11, 2018

'Black Panther' Crosses $1 Billion at Global Box Office

David Barckhoff-Sag-Aftra/Producer, Director
74 months ago

Have some input?